Friday Stats and More

CDC

Friday Stats and More

David Ermer–CDC, CMS, Congress, COVID vaccine mandate, COVID-19, COVID-19 testing, COVID-19 vaccine, U.S. Healthcare–

Based on the Centers for Disease Control’s COVID Data Tracker and using Thursday as the first day of the week here is FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID cases from the 27th week of 2021 through the second week of this year:

Four million new cases of COVID in a week. Wow. The Delta surge is the long hill that starts at the left of the chart. Omicron is Mount Everest by comparison.

Here’s the FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID deaths for the same time span.

Weekly COVID deaths haven’t crossed 10,000 since the Delta surge peaked. Of course deaths are a lagging indicator.

The FEHBlog does think based on his reading that we are close to turning another corner but it’s not showing in these charts yet. We remain in the soup.

Here’s the FEHBlog’s chart of weekly Covid vaccinations distributed and administered since COVID shots were made available to the public in December 2020.

For the first time since before the holidays the number of administered vaccines, including boosters, exceeded 10 million last week. We are closing on 75% of the U.S. population aged 18 and older being fully vaccinated and over 65% of the U.S. population aged 65 and older being boostered.

Here are links the the CDC’s interpretation of its recent Covid and Flu statistics. The American Hospital Association informs us that

As urged by the AHA, the Department of Health and Human Services today renewed the COVID-19 public health emergency declaration for another 90 days effective Jan. 16. The extension will help hospitals and health systems combat COVID-19 in their communities.

In the wake of the Supreme Court lifting the stay on the CMS healthcare worker stay mandate, the American Hospital Association explains

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services today released updated interpretive guidance on its Omnibus COVID-19 Health Care Staff Vaccination Interim Final Rule for states affected by yesterday’s Supreme Court’s decision  on the rule. The guidance does not apply to Texas, where the Interim Final Rule is still subject to a preliminary injunction in a separate legal action that was not before the Supreme Court. Under the guidance, the first dose compliance date for those states is Feb. 14, 2022, with full compliance expected from providers by March 15, 2022. For states not impacted by the Supreme Court decision, the previously announced compliance dates of Jan. 28 and Feb. 27 remain in effect. For both groups, the underlying interpretive guidance released on Dec. 28 applies and all members can still refer to the previously released Frequently Asked Questions for additional information. 

Tomorrow is the implementation date for the President’s mandate that health plans cover over-the-counter COVID tests. It’s worth noting that health plans generally don’t cover any products sold over-the-counter so needless to say plans needed many more than the four days that federal govenment gave them to implement. The New York Times delves into the details.

The Wall Street Journal reports that

The U.S. public can begin ordering free at-home rapid Covid-19 tests through a new government website on Jan. 19, senior Biden administration officials said.

Initially, orders will be limited to four tests per residential address. Tests will ship via mail within 7-12 days of ordering, the officials said. The administration expects that timeline to shorten as the program ramps up, one of the officials said.

The public will be able to order tests at covidtests.gov. Those without access to the internet can place orders via phone, and the administration will work with community groups to help people request tests, the officials said. The government will give priority to orders from areas that have been hard-hit by the pandemic and low-income parts of the country.

Here’s a link to the White House’s fact sheet on these programs. Govexec discusses the Postal Service’s important role in distributing the tests ordered over the government website.

From the masking front, STAT News reports that

U.S. health officials on Friday encouraged more Americans to wear the kind of N95 or KN95 masks used by health-care workers to slow the spread of the coronavirus.

Those kinds of masks are considered better at filtering the air. But they were in short supply previously, and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention officials had said they should be prioritized for health care workers.Related: Comparing the Covid-19 vaccines developed by Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson

In updated guidance posted late Friday afternoon, CDC officials removed concerns related to supply shortages and more clearly said that properly fitted N95 and KN95 masks offer the most protection.

However, agency officials noted some masks are harder to tolerate than others, and urged people to choose good-fitting masks that they will wear consistently.

“Our main message continues to be that any mask is better than no mask,” Kristen Nordlund, a CDC spokeswoman, said in a statement.

In other news —

  • Regulatory News informs us that “The Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) Committee on Thursday voted 13-8 to advance the nomination of Robert Califf for a second stint as commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA).”

Researchers at Weill Cornell Medicine and the University of Oxford announced on January 10, 2022, their new study shows that common vaccines could help reduce the health burden of the COVID-19 pandemic. 

A peer-reviewed study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences crystallizes decades of evidence suggesting that the generalized immune-boosting properties of many vaccines can cross-protect people against multiple pathogens.

While these researchers did not specify particular vaccines, they chose values for cross-protection consistent with data from earlier studies on measles, influenza, tuberculosis, and other immunizations.

  • Fierce Healthcare tells us that “A top Medicare advisory board [MEDPAC] did not recommend any new payment hikes for acute care hospitals or doctors for 2023, stating that targeted relief funding has helped blunt the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.” We shall see.

Midweek update

David Ermer–CDC, CMS, COVID vaccine mandate, COVID-19, COVID-19 vaccine, Medicare, Mental health care, Rx coverage, SCOTUS, U.S. Healthcare–

From the Omicron front, Roll Call reports that

The White House COVID-19 Response Team stopped short of announcing major changes to anticipated guidance surrounding masks and instead focused on changes to testing strategy on Wednesday.

Experts have been calling for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to update its mask guidance to recommend high-filtration masks such as N95s and KN95s in light of the surge of the omicron variant. * * *

CDC Director Rochelle Walensky also echoed that an update to the CDC’s mask guidance was coming to “best reflect the options that are available to people, as you note, and the different levels of protection different masks provide.”

But she also doubled down on refusing to endorse a certain type of mask, instead repeating that the “best” masks are those that individuals will wear continuously in indoor settings.

“We are updating information on our mask website to provide information to the public,” she said. “We will provide information on improved filtration that occurs with other masks, such as N95s, and information that the public needs about how to make a choice of which mask is the right one for them. But most importantly, we want to highlight the best mask for you is the one that you can wear comfortably.”

For context, Bloomberg tells us that

The omicron variant represents about 98% of cases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Rochelle Walensky said Tuesday. That number is based on data for the week ending Jan. 8 and is a significant increase from just two weeks prior, when omicron accounted for 71.3% of cases. 

Omicron’s heightened transmissibility coupled with the immunity some have built to combat the delta through vaccination and exposure, have made conditions favor the “more mild” variant, said David Wohl, a professor at the Institute of Global Health and Infectious Diseases at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. But experts warn that for those who remain unvaccinated or who suffer from other health concerns, infection from any Covid-19 variant is a major concern. 

For even additional context, Bloomberg informs us that

Switzerland joined Spain and the U.K. in suggesting that the coronavirus pandemic may be shifting to an endemic phase. 

From the COVID vaccine front, Bloomberg reports that

Almost all teenagers who needed intensive care for Covid-19 were unvaccinated, according to a study published by the New England Journal of Medicine, bolstering the case for using the Pfizer-BioNTech shot in youths.

The vaccine prevented 98% of ICU visits and 94% of Covid-related hospitalizations in the real-world study of more than 1,000 adolescents ages 12 to 18 in 23 states. The research from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and a network of 31 hospitals is one is one of the most detailed yet showing that vaccines can prevent severe Covid complications in teenagers.

Following up on yesterday’s proposed national Medicare coverage determination on Aduhelm, Healthcare Finance News provides stakeholder perspectives on that decision. STAT News points out that because the CMS decision, if finalized would apply to all drugs under development to treat Alzheimers Disease that fall into the same drug class as Aduhelm — monoclonal antibody, the proposed decision is bad news for several of Biogen’s competitors too.

Both Eli Lilly and Roche have such treatments in the works, and Biogen has still two more, developed in partnership with Eisai, as well. All of those drug makers now have a big incentive to pressure Medicare to loosen the restrictions in the final version of its policy, which is due out this April.

“While so much of the focus has been on what this means for [the Biogen drug], this recommendation impacts an entire class of drug and is likely to result in a more aligned effort by stakeholders as they try to influence the final version,” said a consultant for different drug makers, including Biogen.

“All of the other companies have to start over,” said George Vradenburg, the founder of the advocacy group UsAgainstAlzheimer’s. “This now applies to three drugs that, in fact, might be better.”

In other healthcare news —

  • Fierce Healthcare reports on the third day of the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference.
  • Health Affairs discusses how to create a stronger Medicare.
  • The director of NIH’s Heal Inititiative which focuses on substance use disorders / overdose deaths offers her ideas on the new year.
  • Forbes reports that “Walgreens Boots Alliance will have more than 160 of its doctor-staffed Village Medical clinics open next to drugstores by the end of this year.”

In Postal Service news, Govexec reports that

The U.S. Postal Service on Wednesday elected a new Republican chairman of its governing board, elevating one of President Trump’s appointees over President Biden’s picks.  

Roman Martinez, who joined the USPS board of governors in 2019, will serve as the panel’s 25th chairman. Anton Hajjar, a former American Postal Workers Union official nominated to his post by Biden, will serve as vice chairman. The board members voted unanimously for the leadership positions at a meeting on Wednesday. * * *

The new chairman has been an ally of Postmaster General Louis DeJoy, defending his controversial decisions, endorsing his 10-year plan to improve postal finances through, among other things, service cuts and price hikes, and calling him the right leader for the Postal Service. Hajjar, meanwhile, has voiced a lukewarm response to DeJoy’s tenure. The new vice chairman has said, however, that there was “a lot to like” in DeJoy’s plan, despite having reservations over some provisions.  * * *

DeJoy said on Wednesday he has “benefited from Martinez’s broad experience and wise counsel throughout my tenure as postmaster general and especially during the development of the Delivering for America plan.”

Keeping DeJoy in charge and one of his allies in charge of the board raises the prospect for sweeping postal reform legislation to make its way through Congress, with a House bill so far earning only tepid Republican support. 

It’s worth noting too that at 10 am ET tomorrow the U.S. Supreme Court will release decisions in pending cases which could include a stay of the OSHA ETS as OSHA began the enforcement clock on that measure last Monday.

Tuesday’s Tidbits

David Ermer–ACA, CDC, CMS, COVID treatment, COVID vaccine mandate, COVID-19, COVID-19 testing, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) announced its proposed national coverage decision for Biogen’s Alzheimers Disease FDA-approved treatment, Aduhelm, today.

The proposed National Coverage Determination would cover Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved monoclonal antibodies that target amyloid for the treatment of Alzheimer’s disease through coverage with evidence development (CED) – which means that FDA-approved drugs in this class would be covered for people with Medicare only if they are enrolled in qualifying clinical trials. The proposed National Coverage Determination is open to public comment for 30 days.

STAT News sums it up as follows:

Normally, Medicare covers drugs if the FDA approves them. Aduhelm has been different because the agency approved the treatment without a guarantee that patients actually will see slower cognitive decline. The process that led to the drug’s approval is the subject of multiple investigations, following STAT’s reporting that Biogen had an extensive back-channel relationship with the FDA. * * *

Medicare officials don’t require participation in clinical studies for beneficiaries very often — there are only about two dozen other health care products with a similar designation, called a Coverage with Evidence Development (CED), listed on Medicare’s website. Most are for medical devices or diagnostic imaging, and are less restrictive than the policy Medicare announced Tuesday. * * *

Sean Tunis, a principal at Rubix Health who helped develop the CED process during his tenure at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said the proposal is almost as restrictive as if Medicare had decided not to cover the drug at all. Medicare, he estimated, would pay for drug costs for perhaps a few thousand patients that enroll in randomized trials over the next three to five years.

The CMS national coverage decision if finalized would help the FEHB Program dodge a bullet because it has many annuitant enrollees without Medicare Part B and for whom the FEHB plan would be the primary Aduhelm payer.

Following up on yesterday’s post about Affordable Care Act FAQ 51 implementing the President’s mandate on health plans to cover over the counter COVID tests, the FEHBlog noticed the fourth FAQ in this section of FAQ 51 which reads as follows:

Q4: When providing coverage of OTC COVID-19 tests, are plans and issuers permitted to address suspected fraud and abuse?

Yes. As stated in FAQs Part 44, Q2, although the FFCRA prohibits medical management of coverage of COVID-19 diagnostic testing, plans and issuers may act to prevent, detect, and address fraud and abuse. Examples of permissible activities include the following:

  • A plan or issuer may take reasonable steps to ensure that an OTC COVID-19 test for which a covered individual seeks coverage under the plan or coverage was purchased for the individual’s own personal use (or use by another participant, beneficiary, or enrollee who is covered under the plan or coverage as a member of the individual’s family), provided that such steps do not create significant barriers for participants, beneficiaries, and enrollees to obtain these tests. For example, a plan or issuer could require an attestation, such as a signature on a brief attestation document, that the OTC COVID-19 test was purchased by the participant, beneficiary, or enrollee for personal use, not for employment purposes, has not been (and will not be) reimbursed by another source, and is not for resale. In contrast, the Departments are of the view that fraud and abuse programs that require an individual to submit multiple documents or involve numerous steps that unduly delay a participant’s, beneficiary’s, or enrollee’s access to, or reimbursement for, OTC COVID-19 tests are not reasonable.
  • A plan or issuer may require reasonable documentation of proof of purchase with a claim for reimbursement for the cost of an OTC COVID-19 test. Examples of such documentation could include the UPC code for the OTC COVID-19 test to verify that the item is one for which coverage is required under section 6001 of FFCRA, and/or a receipt from the seller of the test, documenting the date of purchase and the price of the OTC COVID-19 test.

It occurred to the FEHBlog that FSAFeds the flexible spending account program for federal employees must be reimbursing participants for OTC Covid test kits. In fact the FSAFeds does offer reimbursement for OTC test kits on the condition that the participant furnishes a detailed receipt. For OTC products, FSAFeds generally requires a receipt including Vendor name, Date of purchase, Product name, and Cost. This should be a reasonable documentation standard for FEHB plans to adopt.

Also from the testing front, the Wall Street Journal looks into the reliability of rapid antigen COVID tests sold OTC.

Rapid antigen tests are a useful tool if we are smart about how we use them.

Because the data suggest that rapid tests may be yielding more false negatives at the beginning of an Omicron infection, you’ll have a better chance of getting an accurate result if you wait a day or two after developing symptoms to test, says Katelyn Jetelina, assistant professor of epidemiology at the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston. If your test is negative, take a second test a day or two later, or get a PCR test if you can. (Easier said than done these days.)

Understand the limitations of rapid tests if you’re considering using them to screen people before gatherings. Rapid tests before a wedding or other large indoor gathering could miss early infections that could be contagious, Dr. [Blythe] Adamson says.

If you have a positive rapid test, you almost definitely have Covid-19, Dr. [Gigi] Gronvall says. False positives are rare, especially when case rates are as high as they are now. You likely don’t need to confirm a positive rapid-test result with a follow-up PCR test, unless an employer or other institution requires it.

In other Omicron news —

  • The Journal also tells us that “U.S. officials on Tuesday ordered 600,000 doses of Covid-19 treatment sotrovimab, the only monoclonal antibody therapy thought to work against the Omicron variant, as a record number of cases puts hospitals under increasing pressure in parts of the U.S. and Europe.  Sotrovimab, made by GlaxoSmithKline PLC and Vir Biotechnology Inc., is now the only Covid-19 monoclonal antibody available for patients in the U.S.”

ACA FAQ 51 also includes reminders to health plans about the wide scope of the ACA’s contraceptive mandate.

From the federal employee COVID vaccination front Federal News Network reports that

The first update by the Safer Federal Workforce task force in more than a month is addressing the challenge of testing employees and contractors who work on-site or with the public on a regular basis for COVID-19, the types of tests that are permitted and who is responsible for paying for said tests.

The crux of the updated and new frequently ask questions is agencies have until Feb. 15 to set up a testing program “for employees who are not fully vaccinated, including due to a pending or approved request for exception or extension from the COVID-19 vaccination requirement for federal employees.”

The task force said the testing program is only for employees who work on-site or interact with the public like safety inspectors, and not for those who work remotely.

Fedweek adds that “A period of waiting is continuing on two major federal workplace issues on which action was expected around now—enforcement of the Coronavirus vaccine mandate and the “reentry” from telework to regular worksites by more employees and for more often.”

From the preventive services department, the Department of Health and Human Services announced today that

Today, the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services (HHS) announced that the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) has updated comprehensive preventive care and screening guidelines for women and for infants, children, and adolescents. Under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), certain group health plans and insurance issuers must provide coverage with no out-of-pocket cost for preventive health services within these HRSA-supported comprehensive guidelines. Among a number of updates, for the first time the guidelines will require such group health plans and insurance plans to provide coverage without a co-pay or deductible for double electric breast pumps.

Fierce Healthcare reports news from the second day of the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference.

From the tidbits department —

  • Last week, the Office of National Coordinator for Health Information Technology announced “the release of the Project US@ (“Project USA”) Technical Specification Final Version 1.0 and thereby completed our one year goal to coordinate the creation of a health care specification that could be used across the industry for representing patient addresses (mailing, physical, billing, etc.). This new “tech spec” will advance the health care industry’s proficiency in recording and managing accurate and consistently formatted patient addresses and support more efficient patient matching and record linkage. As a reminder, among the many data elements that are used in patient matching, research has shown patient address to be one of the most sensitive to standardization and therefore impactful on patient matching, especially at scale. However, patient addresses change frequently, are often entered incorrectly or imprecisely.”

Monday Roundup

David Ermer–CDC, COVID treatment, COVID-19, COVID-19 testing, COVID-19 vaccine, Medicare–
Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, the Labor Department’s Employee Benefit Security Administration has released guidance for health plans and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services has released guidance for consumers on the President’s mandate that health plans cover over the counter COVID tests for their members.

Basically, under this mandate guidance, if a health plan offers its members an online program to obtain the OTC Covid tests at no cost (for the test or shipping), then the plan can limit out of network reimbursement of OTC Covid tests to the lesser of the actual price or $12 per test. (Binax and Quickvue include two tests in a package. Consequently the maximum reimbursement for one package would be $24.)  

If a health plan plan does not offer such an online program, then it must reimburse member claims in full. (There is an section in the EBSA guidance on FWA issues.)

The guidance also allows the health plan to limit coverage of OTC Covid tests to eight tests per member / belly button per month.

The mandate takes effect this coming Saturday January 15. That’s not a lot of time for implementation. Also, in this regard, ECRI has issued a report on the usability of COVID at home antigen test kits.

On the COVID vaccine front, Medscape informs us that

The FDA on Friday shortened the time that people who received Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine need to wait for a booster — from 6 months to 5 months.

That means Americans 18 years old and older who received their second shot of the two-dose Moderna vaccine at least 5 months ago can now get a third dose.

“The country is in the middle of a wave of the highly contagious Omicron variant, which spreads more rapidly than the original SARS-CoV-2 virus and other variants that have emerged,” Peter Marks, MD, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said in a statement. * * *

On Friday afternoon, Rochelle Walensky, MD, the director of the CDC, said she also approved of shortening the timeline for the Moderna booster dose, according to CNN. The CDC’s vaccine advisory committee recommended the FDA’s decision, and she signed off on it.

Last Wednesday, the government authorities approved the same six to five month reduction for the Pfizer vaccine.

Medscape adds that

Some Americans with a weakened immune system who face high risks for severe COVID-19 become eligible this week to receive a fourth dose of a coronavirus vaccine.

The CDC endorsed a third dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines for moderately and severely immunocompromised people on Aug. 13, which is considered part of their first immunization series rather than a booster shot.

In October, the CDC said moderately and severely immunocompromised people could receive a booster shot, or a fourth dose of the vaccine, 6 months after their third dose.

But the CDC last week shortened the timeline to 5 months for a booster shot of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines. That means immunocompromised people could begin signing up for a fourth shot later this week,  The New York Times reported.   

Bloomberg reports that

Pfizer Inc. is developing a hybrid vaccine that combines its original shot with a formulation that shields against the highly transmissible omicron variant, the drug giant’s top executive said. 

While research continues, Pfizer will evaluate the new hybrid formulation against an omicron-specific shot, and determine which is best suited to move forward by March, Chief Executive Officer Albert Bourla said at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference on Monday. Pfizer will be ready in March to approach U.S. regulators for clearance of the modified vaccine and bring it to market, and it has already begun production, Bourla said.

Speaking of the JPMorgan Healthcare conference, being held this week, Fierce Healthcare offers a full report on other news from that event from earlier today.

Also, the FEHBlog suggests that his readers check out this week’s episode of Econtalk in which host Russ Roberts chats with Wall Street Journal reporter Greg Zuckerman about his recent book on the development of the COVID vaccines.

From the COVID treatment front, Bloomberg reports that

U.S. regulators may decide within a week or two whether to approve a shorter course of Gilead Sciences Inc.’s Covid-19 drug remdesivir that could be used for patients outside the hospital, Chief Executive Officer Daniel O’Day said in an interview.

A five-day course of the infused drug is already a mainstay for hospitalized Covid patients. Gilead has applied for U.S. clearance of a three-day course that could be used in the outpatient setting, after a big trial last year showed it could sharply reduce hospitalizations in at-risk patients. * * * Officials at the U.S. Food and Drug Administration “are working really collaboratively with us, quickly with us,” O’Day said in the interview. “Everything is moving really fast.” * * *

An an infused drug, remdesivir is more complicated to administer than the Pfizer Inc. Covid pill Paxlovid. But Gilead has an abundance of supply on hand, O’Day said in the interview. By contrast, supplies of Pfizer’s drug are limited in the short term as the company ramps up supply. * * *

Meanwhile, O’Day said that Gilead is working hard to develop a chemical cousin of remdesivir that could be given as a pill. That oral drug is about to begin human trials. If it works, it could be combined with other drugs to treat Covid, he said.

In interesting Medicare news, Healthcare Dive explains that

HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra has instructed CMS to reassess its recommendation for Medicare premiums this year after Biogen cut the price for its controversial Alzheimer’s drug Aduhelm in half.

CMS in November published a historic 14.5% hike in monthly premiums for outpatient care in 2022 — the program’s largest premium increase ever. One of the factors regulators cited for the increase was uncertainty over the cost of Aduhelm, a new and pricey drug that has raised eyebrows for unclear effectiveness.

It’s an unusual step for HHS, given the plan year has already begun, and comes just days before a CMS deadline to issue a draft decision that will shape Aduhelm coverage nationwide.

Given Medicare’s shaky financial position, one wonders why the HHS Secretary is interested in turning away additional revenue.

STAT News adds

Biogen cut the price of Aduhelm nearly in half from $56,000 a year to $28,200 in December following disappointing sales, a price some still maintain is higher than necessary. Despite the pharma giant’s high hopes for the drug, other healthcare operators have proved less certain of its efficacy.

A number of health systems have said they wouldn’t prescribe the drug to patients. Meanwhile, most major payers are waiting on CMS to issue a national coverage determination before deciding whether to cover the expensive drug.

CMS is currently hammering out a single, nationwide policy for all amyloid-targeting treatments for Alzheimer’s, which purport to slow dementia by reducing clumps of plaque in the brain. * * *

Another major variable is which patients will be eligible to receive Aduhelm, which is still unknown. Medicare is scheduled to release a draft coverage decision that could make or break the drug’s future by Wednesday. Officials are not supposed to consider a drug’s cost in deciding whether to cover it for Medicare beneficiaries.

The final coverage decision, which is scheduled to be released by April 12, could cause significant changes in how much Aduhelm could cost the Medicare program, depending on how much patient access is restricted by diagnostic test results, which physicians could prescribe the drug or other limitations.

Tuesday’s Tidbits

David Ermer–ACA, CDC, COVID-19, COVID-19 testing, COVID-19 vaccine, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

Lots of updates from the Centers for Disease Control (“CDC”) today

  • “Today, CDC is updating our recommendation for when many people can receive a booster shot, shortening the interval from 6 months to 5 months for people who received the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine.  This means that people can now receive an mRNA booster shot 5 months after completing their Pfizer-BioNTech primary series.  The booster interval recommendation for people who received the J&J vaccine (2 months) or the Moderna vaccine (6 months), has not changed.”
  • The CDC released a study of over 40,000 COVID- vaccinated pregnant women.

In a retrospective cohort of >40,000 pregnant women, COVID-19 vaccination during pregnancy was not associated with preterm birth or small-for-gestational-age at birth overall, stratified by trimester of vaccination, or number of vaccine doses received during pregnancy, compared with unvaccinated pregnant women.

These data support the safety of COVID-19 vaccination during pregnancy. CDC recommends COVID-19 vaccination for women who are pregnant, recently pregnant, who are trying to become pregnant now, or who might become pregnant in the future.

  • As expected, the CDC revised and lengthened its revised COVID quarantine and isolation policy by, e.g., adding “at home testing when available,” right at the time that at home COVID test are hard to purchase. What’s more, the Wall Street Journal reports the prices for those tests are jumping at Walmart and Kroger because the White House curiously let a price support program lapse. Govexex informs about how government agencies had been struggling to implement this CDC guidance even before today’s changes.

Also from the Omicron front, Medscape tells us about a British study finding that

Protection against hospitalization from COVID-19 vaccines is “good” against the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, an analysis has found.

The risk for adults of being admitted to hospital with Omicron was approximately one third (Hazard Ratio 0.33, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.37) of that for the Delta variant, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) said in a technical briefing.

The analysis also found that the risk of presentation to emergency care, or being admitted to hospital, with Omicron – whether testing for symptomatic or asymptomatic infection – was approximately half of that for Delta (Hazard Ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.57).

From the Affordable Care Act front – –

  • The International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans announced that “The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued the proposed 2023 actuarial value (AV) calculator and methodology.” This should be useful when preparing FEHB 2023 benefit and rate proposals.
  • The Labor Department’s Employee Benefit Security Administration announced that it is seeking speakers to talk at an ACA listening session about the ACA’s provider non-discrimination provision, known as Section 2706. In Division BB of the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021, Congress tasked the ACA regulators with adopting a rule interpreting Section 2706. The listening session bears on that effort.

From the healthcare business front

  • Fierce Healthcare tells us that “Centene Corporation has completed its acquisition of Magellan Health, the insurer announced Tuesday. The $2.2 billion deal closes exactly one year after its announcement on Jan. 4, 2021. The combination will create one of the country’s largest behavioral health platforms, including 41 million unique members. * * * In addition to its behavioral health platform, Magellan will add 5.5 million members to Centene’s government program, 16 million pharmacy members and 2 million pharmacy benefit management members.”
  • Healthcare Dive reports that “HCA Healthcare has purchased the largest urgent care chain in Florida, MD Now Urgent Care, the health system said Tuesday. The deal closed at the end of 2021 for an undisclosed sum. The deal gives HCA 59 urgent care centers in a state where it already has a significant presence, with 47 hospitals.” 

From the tidbits department

  • STAT News interviews Dr. Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. “[2022] will have to be a year where we transition to working alongside the pandemic, as opposed to being dominated by the pandemic,” Dr. Marks told STAT in a wide-ranging interview. Let’s hope so.
  • Medpage Today brings us up to date on Biogen’s Aduhelm saga and considers 2022 biggest hurdles for heathcare in the U.S.
  • The new acting National Institutes of Health director Dr. Larry Tabak is continuing the tradition of writing a weekly director’s blog. This week’s issue concerns science’s 2021 breakthroughs, e.g., the COVID pills.

Thursday Stats and More

David Ermer–ACA, AHRQ, CDC, COVID-19, COVID-19 vaccine, No Surprises Act–

Based on the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker and using Thursday as the first day of the week, here is the FEHBlog’s final weekly calendar for 2021 and it’s a stunner:

STAT News features a timely article captioned “Beyond Case Counts: What Omicron is teaching us.”

Brace yourself: Case counts are going to reach astounding heights. Already, reported infections have doubled in just a few weeks. The average daily number of infections is greater than 300,000. (It’s likely that our case counts will become increasingly less reliable as well, given both the shortcomings of our testing infrastructure and the growing use of at-home tests.)  

But, in large part because the immunological landscape today is far different than what it was two years ago, cases are less likely to result in severe disease than was the case at the start of the pandemic. 

Back then, a rise in cases inevitably led to an increase in hospitalizations and deaths. When vaccines went into wide use, those metrics started to become decoupled; cases could rise sharply but hospitalizations and deaths occurred at a lower level than before. In the current phase of the pandemic, the distance between those metrics is growing even greater. * * *

[A] key question relates to how long we’ll be in Omicron’s grasp. South Africa’s bellwether wave soared to extraordinary heights — then quickly began to ebb. Data from several European countries also suggest that Omicron waves may be short, sharp shocks compared to the waves that have preceded it. But too little is yet known to predict with any confidence whether the experience of a country with a relatively young population, such as South Africa, will hold true in a country with an older population, such as the United States. 

Here’s a link to the FEHBlog’s final weekly chart of new COVID deaths:

As cases have skyrocketed, deaths have ranged between 5,000 and 10,000 per week for over four months.

Here’s the FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID vaccinations administered and distributed from the 51st week of 2020, when the vaccinations became available to the public, and the 52nd week of 2021:

The number of administered COVID vaccines has dropped during the holidays. Currently, 72.8% of Americans aged 18 and older are fully vaccinated and 36.3% of that cadre are boostered. Nearly 50% of Americans aged 50 and older are boostered.

Also from the COVID vaccine front, the Hill reports that

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is expected to approve booster shots of Pfizer and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 15-year-olds on Monday, people familiar with the agency’s plan told The New York Times.

In addition to that broadened policy, the FDA also intends to announce that both children and adults could seek their booster shot five months after their second dose, instead of the previously advised six months. Immunocompromised children ages 5 to 11 are also expected to be allowed boosters, according to the Times.

The Times reported that the vaccine advisory committee for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is set to meet next week to vote on approving the FDA’s policy changes, which CDC Director Rochelle Walensky is expected to endorse. 

From the No Surprises Act front, CMS has released a handy, comprehensive overview of the federal independent review process. Check it out.

From the Affordable Care Act front, Prof. Katie Keith writing in Health Affairs Forefront has released two of three articles on the ACA 2023 Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters released earlier this week — link to Part 1 and link to Part 2. Part 1 includes a discussion of proposed changes to the medical loss ratio calculation and Part 2 discusses the standardized benefit requirements that the FEHB mentioned earlier this week.

From the health disparity front, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality issued its 2021 report on national healthcare qualities and disparities, the nineteen report in this series. Here’s a link to the report’s executive summary.

From the New Year’s Eve front, the New York Times made available this guidance:

“Many public health experts agree that you can celebrate with your favorite people as long as you’re taking precautions.
“To help you make a decision and gauge the level of risk, The Times has this quiz.”

Midweek update

David Ermer–ACA, CDC, COVID vaccine mandate, COVID-19, COVID-19 testing, COVID-19 vaccine, Patient safety, U.S. Healthcare–

From the Omicron front, the Washington Post reports that breakthrough Omicron cases are becoming the new normal in the U.S.

Long-anticipated holiday plans fell apart as people — young and old, vaccinated and unvaccinated — tested positive right and left. Those with negative tests worried it was only a matter of time.

They are likely right, according to Robert Frenck, professor of pediatrics and director of the Vaccine Research Center at the Cincinnati Children’s Hospital. “You know what? You’re probably going to get covid,” he said, but if you have been vaccinated you are unlikely to become seriously ill.

Oddly, in the FEHBlog’s view, the article does not mention the additional natural immunity gained from a mild case of Omicron.

STAT News raises three “big” questions about the Biden administration’s Covid response in 2022 —

1. Will the government broaden its focus beyond vaccines? STAT News explains that

Even before there were Covid-19 vaccines, there were commonsense tools used to prevent the disease from spreading: Wearing masks, and avoiding indoor gatherings with large numbers of other people.

But two years into the pandemic, the U.S. is still laser-focused on vaccines, and has largely ignored other factors. In particular, federal regulators haven’t done much to incentivize Americans to wear higher-quality face coverings, or to maintain better filtration and cleaner air in indoor spaces.

On the bright side, the FDA approved two new rapid over the counter COVID tests today on an emergency use basis. The more the merrier.

2. Will people who feel sick have better options for tests and treatments? STAT News explains rapid COVID tests are short in supply and pricey and the Biden Administration’s government solutions won’t be implemented for weeks. Similarly we have two exciting COVID pills which won’t be widely available for months.

3. Forget a third vaccine dose — will Americans need a fourth, too? To the FEHBlog that seems like a foregone conclusion.

From our other epidemic front, MedPage Today reports that

The volume of opioids dispensed from retail pharmacies fell by about 21% from 2008-2009 to 2017-2018, but cuts were not uniform, national prescription records showed.

Changes in opioid prescribing varied substantially by county, patient, and prescriber, reported Bradley Stein, MD, PhD, of the RAND Corporation in Pittsburgh, and co-authors in Annals of Internal Medicine. * * *

Per-capita morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs) fell by 22.6% in metropolitan counties and by 34.6% in counties with the highest rates of fatal opioid overdoses, the researchers found. In multiple counties, opioid prescribing increased over time. Some states had counties with both increases and substantial decreases, and these counties often were next to each other.

People 18 to 25 years old experienced the sharpest decrease in prescription opioids (66.6%) per capita, followed by those 26 to 35 (57%). Patients 56 to 65 had essentially no change (0.1% decline), while those 66 and older had a 12% drop.

People covered by commercial insurance had a 41.5% decline per capita. Those with Medicaid had a 27.7% reduction, and those with Medicare had a 17.5% drop.

MMEs plummeted by 70.5% among emergency physicians, even though these doctors are likely to prescribe opioids predominantly to people with acute pain, the researchers noted. The top two opioid prescribers, primary care physicians and pain specialists, also saw reductions in MMEs of 40% and 15.4%, respectively. MMEs fell by 49.3% among surgeons and by 59.5% among oncologists.

From the COVID vaccine mandate front, the Eleventh Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals which is hearing a challenge to a nationwide stay of the government contractor mandate (Case No.  21-14269), decided yesterday not to hear the case before the entire court rather than a three judge panel and today to decline the government’s request to accelerate the briefing and argument calendar. Consequently the stay will remain in effect at least through January 2022.

From the Federal Register front, the Department of Health and Human Services finalized its rescission of the Trump Administration’s most favored nation drug pricing rule. Smart move.

Tuesday Tidbits

David Ermer–ACA, CDC, COVID treatment, COVID-19, No Surprises Act, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention added to research suggesting the Omicron variant can lead to reinfections that are often accompanied by mild Covid-19 symptoms, as new cases soared across the U.S.

States reported 512,553 cases on Monday—the most for a single day since the start of the pandemic—as states caught up after pausing for the Christmas holiday, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University. The tally lifted the seven-day average of reported cases to 237,061, 15,000 less than the pandemic high recorded about a year ago.

The report for Monday didn’t include North Carolina, South Carolina and Rhode Island, which remained on pause. That gap and more blackouts in reporting during the New Year weekend are expected to muddy the tracking of the full extent of the pandemic’s trajectory until January, when reporting catches up. 

Covid-19 testing was also less prevalent earlier in the pandemic, complicating case-rate comparisons from one surge to another. As with earlier variants, tracking Omicron’s spread in the U.S. has been a challenge for public-health officials. The CDC on Tuesday estimated that Omicron was responsible for 59% of new infections for the week through Dec. 25 and 23% for the week through Dec. 18. Last week, the CDC had estimated Omicron drove some 73% of infections in the week through Dec. 18. The CDC said Tuesday that the latest figures fell within the bounds of its statistical model and that the trend of Omicron’s increasing prevalence among U.S. cases is clear. 

Bloomberg adds

The omicron-fueled U.S. surge in Covid-19 cases appears to be triggering a lower rate of hospitalizations than earlier waves, more evidence that the highly transmissible variant leads to milder symptoms than other strains. 

The seven-day average of new cases hit 206,577 on Sunday, roughly 18% lower than the all-time high recorded on Jan. 11, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Meanwhile, hospitalizations rose to a seven-day average of 8,964, only half their earlier peak recorded in January. * * *

Even when patients do end up in the hospital with omicron, they appear to spend less time there. However, the increasing numbers of breakthrough infections among vaccinated people may skew hospitalization data, said Jeffrey Morris, professor and director of the biostatistics division at the University of Pennsylvania’s Perelman School of Medicine.

“It appears there is less risk of hospitalized disease across the board, but we have to be a little bit careful about interpreting that,” he said in a phone interview. The rate of hospitalizations and deaths may appear artificially lower because breakthrough cases tend often turn out to be mild, Morris said.

From the Affordable Care Act front, the Department of Health and Human Services issued the first round of 2023 Benefit and Payment Parameter rules today. Here’s a link to the CMS fact sheet which describes big, disruptive proposed changes to the federal and state marketplaces. For example

CMS proposes to require issuers in the FFMs and State-based Marketplaces on the Federal Platform (SBM-FPs) to offer standardized plan options at every product network type, metal level, and throughout every service area that they offer non-standardized options in plan year (PY) 2023. For example, if an issuer offers a non-standardized gold plan in a particular service area, that issuer must also offer a standardized gold plan in that same service area. CMS is not proposing to require issuers to offer standardized plan options at product network types, metal levels, and throughout services areas in which they do not offer non-standardized options. CMS has designed two sets of standardized plan options at each of the bronze, expanded bronze, silver, silver cost-sharing reduction (CSR) variations, gold, and platinum metal levels of coverage, with each set being tailored to the unique cost-sharing laws in different sets of states. CMS also proposes to display these standardized options differentially on HealthCare.gov and to resume enforcement of the existing standardized plan option differential display requirements for web brokers and QHP issuers utilizing a Classic Direct Enrollment or Enhanced Direct Enrollment pathway.

The key aspect of these rules applicable to the FEHB Program is the disclosure of the 2023 limits on in-network cost sharing. The fact sheet explains that

CMS will issue the 2023 benefit year premium adjustment percentage, the maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, reduced maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, and the required contribution percentage (payment parameters) in guidance by January 2022, consistent with policy finalized in the 2022 Payment Notice (86 FR 24140). 

These rules also routine tweak the medical loss ratio rules under which FEHB community rated plans generally operate.

From the No Surprises Act front, the Internal Revenue Service released Rev. Proc. 2022-11. This Rev. Proc. explains that

For an item or service furnished during 2022, the group health plan or group or individual health insurance issuer must calculate the qualifying payment amount by increasing the median contracted rate (as determined in accordance with § 54.9816-6T(b), 29 CFR 2590.716-6(b), and 45 CFR 149.140(b))8 for the same or similar item or service under such plan or coverage, on January 31, 2019, by the combined percentage increase as published by the Department of the Treasury (Treasury Department) and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to reflect the percentage increase in the consumer price index for all urban consumers (U.S. city average) (CPI-U) over 2019, such percentage increase over 2020, and such percentage increase over 2021. * * *

This Rev. Proc. provides that combined (2019-2021) CPI-U adjustment for next year which of course begins on Saturday:

For items and services provided on or after January 1, 2022, and before January 1, 2023, the combined percentage increase to adjust the median contracted rate is 1.0648523983.10 Pursuant to this revenue procedure, group health plans and group and individual health insurance issuers may round any resulting qualifying payment amount to the nearest dollar.

Example. A group health plan sponsor calculates a median contracted rate for a service with service code X; the service is not an anesthesia service or air ambulance service. The median contracted rate for service code X is $12,480 as of January 31, 2019. For a service with service code X furnished during 2022, increasing the median contracted rate by the combined percentage increase of 1.0648523983 results in $13,289.36; rounding to the nearest dollar results in a qualifying payment amount of $13,289.

From the upcoming new year department —

  • Fedweek offers advice to federal employees on paycheck changes to expect / confirm in the first paycheck of 2022 which, “[d]epending on the payroll provider, employees typically receive a pay distribution late in the week following the end of a pay period [here January 15] or early in the week subsequent to that.”
  • STAT News again peers into its crystal ball and predicts / discusses three challenges facing hospitals next year: Staffing, federal assistance, and patient capacity. On that last challenge

The bright spot is that the health care system could have another tool in its arsenal to fight Covid-19 in 2022 — antivirals that could reduce hospitalizations even if people become infected. There are some logistical challenges around deploying the pills, as they have to be taken early in the course of the Covid-19 infection. If the United States can capitalize on their potential, the treatments have the potential to relieve the worst of the pressure that 2022 could bring to bear on weary hospitals.

Monday Roundup

David Ermer–CDC, COVID-19, Rx coverage, Uncategorized–
Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, STAT News offers an article about forecasting the Omicron winter, and it’s cloudy.

Which immediate future plays out will be a function of a few big unknowns — some already baked into Omicron’s biology and some that can be altered based on how people behave in the coming days and weeks. Further out, the models get fuzzier still. But though they differ in the details, all of them point to SARS-CoV-2 being here to stay.

“I think we may be in for a longer road than we had hoped,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an infectious disease forecaster at Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health. 

In an encouraging development, the Centers for Disease Control have announced changes to their 10 day quarantine requirement for folks who contract COVID:

Given what we currently know about COVID-19 and the Omicron variant, CDC is shortening the recommended time for isolation from 10 days for people with COVID-19 to 5 days, if asymptomatic, followed by 5 days of wearing a mask when around others. The change is motivated by science demonstrating that the majority of SARS-CoV-2 transmission occurs early in the course of illness, generally in the 1-2 days prior to onset of symptoms and the 2-3 days after. Therefore, people who test positive should isolate for 5 days and, if asymptomatic at that time, they may leave isolation if they can continue to mask for 5 days to minimize the risk of infecting others.

Additionally, CDC is updating the recommended quarantine period for those exposed to COVID-19. For people who are unvaccinated or are more than six months out from their second mRNA dose (or more than 2 months after the J&J vaccine) and not yet boosted, CDC now recommends quarantine for 5 days followed by strict mask use for an additional 5 days. Alternatively, if a 5-day quarantine is not feasible, it is imperative that an exposed person wear a well-fitting mask at all times when around others for 10 days after exposure. Individuals who have received their booster shot do not need to quarantine following an exposure, but should wear a mask for 10 days after the exposure.  For all those exposed, best practice would also include a test for SARS-CoV-2 at day 5 after exposure. If symptoms occur, individuals should immediately quarantine until a negative test confirms symptoms are not attributable to COVID-19.

For a little holiday humor, Mary Norris in the New Yorker provides a linguistic look at Omicron. Of note,

Having reached omicron (ο), we are already more than halfway through the alphabet.

If this seems to be happening too fast, it’s partly because scientists have skipped some letters. They got to mu (μ), which is right in the middle, and then left out nu (ν), because it sounds confusingly like “new”; we can’t go around talking about a new Nu variant of interest. They also skipped the next letter, xi (ξ), not because it looks so exotic, sitting there between “N” and “O,” but because Xi is a Chinese surname and, one cannot help but notice, the surname of the guy who runs China.

In other healthcare news, the Department of Health and Human Services today

release[d] the annual update to the Department’s National Plan to Address Alzheimer’s Disease, which for the first time includes a new goal focused on work being done to promote healthy aging and reduce the risks that may contribute to the onset of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias.

Although these diseases cannot yet be prevented, there is growing evidence that addressing certain risk factors for dementia, such as high blood pressure, physical inactivity, and chronic medical conditions such as diabetes and depression, may lower the chances of developing the disease or delay its onset. * * *

Under the plan’s new goal, the federal government will accelerate research on risk factors for Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias, and strengthen the infrastructure that is necessary to rapidly translate and disseminate information about risk factors, interventions to reduce the burden of risk factors, and related health promotion activities to health care providers, community-based providers, caregivers, and public health networks.

STAT News peered into its crystal ball to identify three pharma trends to watch next year:

  • Continued uncertainty over drug pricing
  • Intensifying debate over global access, and
  • Debate over FDA standards / Ahuhelm fallout

Holiday Weekend Update

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, COVID-19, No Surprises Act, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare, Uncategorized–

The FEHBlog trusts that his readers had a Merry Christmas.

Congress is on a break until next week when the second session of the 117th Congress kicks off.

On Saturday, January 1, 2022, the surprise billing protections of the federal No Surprises Act take effect.

From the Omicron front, Bloomberg’s Prognosis informs us that

The coronavirus that causes Covid-19 can spread within days from the airways to the heart, brain and almost every organ system in the body, where it may persist for months, a study found.

In what they describe as the most comprehensive analysis to date of the SARS-CoV-2 virus’s distribution and persistence in the body and brain, scientists at the U.S. National Institutes of Health said they found the pathogen is capable of replicating in human cells well beyond the respiratory tract.

The results, released online Saturday in a manuscript under review for publication in the journal Nature, point to delayed viral clearance as a potential contributor to the persistent symptoms wracking so-called long Covid sufferers. Understanding the mechanisms by which the virus persists, along with the body’s response to any viral reservoir, promises to help improve care for those afflicted, the authors said.

An opinion piece in STAT News discusses a trend in COVID weekly new death statistics in the U.S. that the FEHBlog noticed in last Thursday’s post:

Several colleagues and I [Duane Schulthess] at Vital Transformation began closely following the data on Covid-19 early in the pandemic.

Since that time, we’ve kept a keen eye on the relationship between cases and deaths, particularly during the recent waves, which have been influenced by improved treatments and vaccines, as well as by new variants. There are legitimate concerns about the trajectory of the newest variant, Omicron, and public health experts are paying close attention to the exponentially mounting cases, particularly in the United Kingdom, which in the past has functioned as a canary in the Covid-19 coal mine for the U.S.

While early reports from South Africa suggested that Omicron might cause less-severe Covid-19, the rapidly mounting case numbers and overall transmissibility have been alarming, particularly in the U.K. According to a Dec. 10 government technical briefing(see page 17), Omicron cases were expanding by 35% per day.

But there’s something else different this time around, at least in the U.K.: the statistical relationship between Covid-19 cases and deaths appears to have broken down with Omicron.

Looking at daily death rates in the U.K. from May 15 — essentially from the point at which the Delta wave began — to Sept. 15, there is a highly statistically significant relationship between daily new cases and deaths. In short, case rates accurately predict death rates. But beginning the analysis on Sept. 15, coinciding with flattening of the Delta curve and the onset of Omicron, shows no statistical relationship between Covid-19 case rates and deaths. * * *

It’s still, of course, early days. While it is possible that death rates due to Omicron may rise later, at the moment in the U.K., Covid-19 daily cases no longer meaningfully link to deaths. So, according to the math, Omicron cases rising no longer automatically means impending doom and gloom

In healthcare M&A news, Healthcare Dive tells us that

— Tenet and its subsidiary USPI completed a $1.1 billion acquisition of SurgCenter Development, giving the ambulatory surgery unit an ownership stake in 86 more surgery centers and related support services.

— Tenet said it’s willing to buy additional interests of up to $250 million from physician owners. This process is expected to continue over the coming months, Tenet said Wednesday.

— As part of the deal, USPI will have exclusivity on developing new centers — at minimum 50 — with SCD during a five-year period.

Fierce Healthcare peers into its crystal ball to let us know about

From the FDA new drug approval front, MedCity News reports that

The FDA has approved a new cholesterol-lowering drug from Novartis that addresses the same target as two commercialized medicines from Amgen and Regeneron, but with a different approach and a key dosing advantage—just two injections per year.

The drug, inclisiran, is part of a relatively new class of genetic medicines that work by stopping production of a problem protein. In the case of the Novartis drug, which will be marketed under the name Leqvio, the target is PCSK9, a liver protein that in high amounts, impedes the body’s ability to clear low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, the “bad” form of cholesterol. Leqvio is comprised of small-interfering RNA that harnesses a cellular mechanism called RNA interference to stop a gene from producing PCSK9.

The way that Leqvio and other RNAi drugs work is sometimes referred to as gene silencing. It’s a different approach than PCSK9 inhibitors, antibody drugs that bind to this protein to block it. The FDA approved two of these drugs, Amgen’s  Repatha and Regeneron’s Praluent, in 2015. They’re both given as subcutaneous injections every two weeks or monthly. However, their high price tags made them a tough sell to payers, and revenue fell short of initial expectations. In 2018, Amgen slashed Repatha’s price by nearly 60%, making the drug available at list price of $5,850 per year. Months later, Regeneron matched the pricing move for its PCSK9-blocking drug.

The benefits of competition do apply to prescription drug development.

Last week, the U.S. Census Bureau released its “Vintage 2021 national and state population estimates and components of change.” In sum,

Since April 1, 2020 (Census Day), the nation’s population increased from 331,449,281 to 331,893,745, a gain of 444,464, or 0.13%.

Between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, the nation’s growth was due to natural increase (148,043), which is the number of excess births over deaths, and net international migration (244,622). This is the first time that net international migration (the difference between the number of people moving into the country and out of the country) has exceeded natural increase for a given year.

The voting-age resident population, adults age 18 and over, grew to 258.3 million, comprising 77.8% of the population in 2021.

The South, with a population of 127,225,329, was the most populous of the four regions (encompassing 38.3% of the total national population) and was the only region that had positive net domestic migration of 657,682 (the movement of people from one area to another within the United States) between 2020 and 2021. The Northeast region, the least populous of the four regions with a population of 57,159,838 in 2021, experienced a population decrease of -365,795 residents due to natural decrease (-31,052) and negative net domestic migration (-389,638).

The West saw a gain in population (35,868) despite losing residents via negative net domestic migration (-144,941). Growth in the West was due to natural increase (143,082) and positive net international migration (38,347).