Midweek Update

David Ermer–AHRQ, CDC, COVID-19, FDA, Generative AI, Medical / Rx research, Mental health care, Obesity, OPM, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Manasvita S on Unsplash

From Washington, DC,

  • The Wall Street Journal adds,
    • “A summer Covid wave is hitting the country, but there’s one consolation: Your chances of developing long Covid have fallen since the start of the pandemic. 
    • “That’s the finding from a new study in the New England Journal of Medicine. It concluded that about 10% of people infected with the virus’s original strain developed long Covid. By contrast, the risk of developing long Covid dropped to 3.5% with the virus’s Omicron variant among vaccinated people. For the unvaccinated, the risk was 7.7.%.
    • “Researchers defined long Covid as people who experienced persistent and debilitating symptoms such as a racing heartbeat or brain fog, or other new health problems linked to the initial illness, a month or more after their infection.
    • “About 70% of the drop in long Covid cases was due to vaccination and 30% because of changes in the virus itself, the study determined. 
    • “Four years since the start of the pandemic, we’re getting used to periodic waves of Covid cases, including the uptick we’re seeing now, driven by Omicron subvariants. The threats of severe illness and lingering health problems have significantly subsided, though they haven’t disappeared.”
  • Beckers Hospital Review reports,
    • “As the House Committee on Oversight and Accountability investigates pharmacy benefit managers regarding alleged anticompetitive practices, the committee scheduled a hearing with leaders of the top three PBMs. 
    • “On July 23, [at 10 am ET], members of the House Committee on Oversight and Accountability plan to ask executives at Express Scripts/Evernorth, CVS Caremark and OptumRx about the alleged anticompetitive policies, which committee members say raise prescription drug costs, harm independent pharmacies and obstruct patient care. 
    • “The three PBMs account for about 80% of the market share. 
    • “The called witnesses are Adam Kautzner, PharmD, president of Evernorth Care Management and Express Scripts; David Joyner, executive vice president of CVS Health and president of CVS Caremark; and Patrick Conway, MD, CEO of OptumRx.”
  • The FEHBlog discovered today that on July 11, 2024, Rep. Gary Palmer (R Ala.) introduced House Jt. Resolution 187 which reads,
    • “Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That Congress disapproves the rule submitted by the Office of Personnel Management relating to Postal Service Reform Act; Establishment of the Postal Service Health Benefits Program (89 Fed. Reg. 37061), and such rule shall have no force or effect.”
  • The cited rule is the OPM’s May 2024 supplemental rule implementing the PSHBP. In the FEHBlog’s opinion, the provision of the rule which offends Rep. Palmer (and the FEHBlog) for that matter is found in an OPM FAQ:
    • “While the proposed rule reflects that Medicare Part D-eligible annuitants and their Part D-eligible family members would be automatically group enrolled into the Part D EGWP, it reflects that they may choose to opt out of receiving prescription drug coverage through the PSHB Part D EGWP. This proposed rule provides, consistent with the statute, that the Part D EGWP offered by their PSHB plan is the only PSHB prescription drug benefit available for Part D-eligible PSHB annuitants and their Part D-eligible covered family members. As proposed, Medicare Part D-eligible annuitants and their family members who choose to opt out of or disenroll from the PSHB plan’s Part D EGWP would not have access to prescription drug benefits through their PSHB plan and would not pay a lower premium than those enrolled in the Part D EGWP.“
  • Nothing in the Postal Service Reform Act suggests that Congress intended to impose such a penalty. It’s a penalty because OPM does not reduce the premium for members who are deprived of their plan’s prescription drug benefits. Furthermore, when Congress included a mandate for PSHBP annuitants to enroll in Part B, it also provided grandfathering protections and exemptions. The Part D penalty applies across the board.
  • In any case, because Part D benefits will feature improvements such as a $2,000 out of pocket cost maximum for 2025, the carrot approach to incenting Part D EGWP enrollment should be tried first.
  • The American Hospital Association News lets us know,
    • “The Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response July 16 announced it will work with the Department of Commerce on an assessment of the active pharmaceutical industrial base to better understand the pharmaceutical supply chain and how it has changed since the COVID-19 pandemic. The assessment is based on a survey conducted last winter. The study will inform federal strategies and funding decisions related to the API supply chain and raise awareness of potential supply chain issues, such as the current limited domestic manufacturing capabilities and other potential issues. The study will survey more than 200 companies, including manufacturers, distributors, suppliers and customers. A Bureau of Industry and Security webpage answers FAQs about the project.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • STAT News tells us,
    • “The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just released a trove of data on Americans with disabilities that found that more than a quarter of U.S. adults have a disability — over 70 million people, a bump from prior years. This slice of the population was also much more likely to report long Covid symptoms such as chronic fatigue and brain fog. This comorbidity looms large for many disabled communities as another surge in Covid cases sweeps the country.
    • “The data, gathered in 2022, is part of the agency’s Disability and Health Data System, which has annual state and national-level data stretching back to 2016. This is the first year that the agency has released long Covid data, finding that 11% of people with disabilities had long Covid symptoms while only 7% of people without disabilities reported symptoms.
    • “For many disabilities, the highest populations exist in a swath that extends from the Deep South and Louisiana up to Appalachian communities in West Virginia and Ohio. Disability benefits claims are typically highest in these areas, but for long Covid, the geography shifted west. Idaho and other states along the Continental Divide saw much higher rates of symptoms, with Montana recording the highest prevalence at 18%.”
  • The New York Times adds,
    • “A large new study provides some of the strongest evidence yet that vaccines reduce the risk of developing long Covid.
    • “Scientists looked at people in the United States infected during the first two years of the pandemic and found that the percentage of vaccinated people who developed long Covid was much lower than the percentage of unvaccinated people who did. 
    • “Medical experts have previously said that vaccines can lower the risk of long Covid, largely because they help prevent severe illness during the infection period and people with severe infections are more likely to have long-term symptoms.
    • “But many individuals with mild infections also develop long Covid, and the study, published Wednesday in The New England Journal of Medicine, found that vaccination did not eliminate all risk of developing the condition, which continues to affect millions in the United States.”
  • STAT News also informs us,
    • “A study published Wednesday in the Journal of Clinical Oncology found that certain unmatched donors, or people whose bone marrow does not as closely resemble that of the patient’s, provided similar outcomes to matched donors so long as patients receive a key drug called cyclophosphamide to prevent dangerous complications. That suggests that patients who need a transplant might be able to safely consider both matched and some unmatched donors, vastly expanding the pool of potential acceptable donors for all patients, though particularly those of African, Latino, or Asian ancestry.
    • “It’s much harder to find a match for most of my patients. Looking to people who are donor unrelated and aren’t a perfect match for my patients has become the norm,” said Sekeres, who is the chief of hematology at Sylvester Cancer Center at the University of Miami and did not work on the study. “That’s why this study really resonated with me. The classic teaching is you want a perfect match as opposed to less than perfect. What this study suggests is, if you use the right drugs after transplant, it may not be as big of a deal.”
    • “If so, up to roughly 84% of African American patients might have a potential donor in the national registry. Currently, less than 30% of African American patients have a potential match in the NMDP registry, previously called the National Marrow Donor Program.”
  • Per BioPharma Dive,
    • “A closely watched obesity pill being developed by Roche helped people in a small Phase 1 trial lose 7.3% of their body weight over four weeks when taken once daily — 6.1 percentage points more than those given a placebo, the company said Wednesday.
    • “The data comes two months after the Swiss drugmaker disclosed trial results from another obesity drug in its pipeline, which showed the once-weekly injection helped reduce body weight by 19% over six months. Roche disclosed more detailed data for that drug, indicating none of the trial participants stopped taking it due to side effects — a reason users might quit taking Wegovy or Zepbound.
    • “The two drugs came from Roche’s $2.7 billion acquisition of biotechnology startup Carmot Therapeutics in December. The deal was part of a rush by pharmaceutical companies to enter a market estimated to be worth more than $100 billion annually by early next decade.”
  • Beckers Hospital Review interviews NYU Langone’s bariatric surgery chief about the first GLP-1 generic and other GLP-1 issues.
  • Per a National Institutes of Health press release,
    • “A neuroimaging study of young people who exhibit a persistent pattern of disruptive, aggressive, and antisocial behavior, known as conduct disorder, has revealed extensive changes in brain structure. The most pronounced difference was a smaller area of the brain’s outer layer, known as the cerebral cortex, which is critical for many aspects of behavior, cognition and emotion. The study, co-authored by researchers at the National Institutes of Health (NIH), is published in The Lancet Psychiatry.
    • “Conduct disorder has among the highest burden of any mental disorder in youth. However, it remains understudied and undertreated. Understanding brain differences associated with the disorder takes us one step closer to developing more effective approaches to diagnosis and treatment, with the ultimate aim of improving long-term outcomes for children and their families,” said co-author Daniel Pine, M.D., chief of the Section on Development and Affective Neuroscience in NIH’s National Institute of Mental Health. “Critical next steps are to follow children over time to determine if differences in brain structure seen in this study are a cause of conduct disorder or a long-term consequence of living with the disorder.”
  • The National Cancer Institute posted its latest cancer information highlights.
  • The Institute of Clinical and Economic Review “released a Draft Evidence Report assessing the comparative clinical effectiveness and value of acoramidis (BridgeBio Pharma, Inc.), tafamidis (Vyndamax®/Vyndaqel®, Pfizer Inc.), and vutrisiran (Amvuttra®, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) for the treatment of transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM).”
  • AHRQ’s Patient Safety Network informs us,
    • “Patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) are triaged to prioritize care based on level of illness. In this study, 2,543 patients presenting to an ED in Switzerland were asked to self-triage using an electronic symptom-checker. (Patients were triaged and treated based on standard-of-care nurse triage.) Recommendations were given regarding time to treat (e.g., emergency) and point-of-care (e.g., self-care) and subsequently evaluated by three panels of experts. Fifty of the 2,543 patients were judged as undertriaged, but none were judged as potentially hazardous.”

From the U.S. healthcare front,

  • Healthcare Dive points out,
    • “Elevance reported solid second-quarter results on Wednesday — including $2.3 billion in profit — but the company still lowered long-term revenue growth guidance for its health insurance business. That disconnect raised red flags for analysts.”
    • “Changing revenue growth forecasts for health benefits in the middle of the year “is unusual,” commented Jefferies analyst David Windley in a Wednesday note. “We can’t identify a single, large item that would compel [the reduction] off-cycle.”
    • “During a call with investors Wednesday, Elevance management cited several factors for dropping the guidance, including significant member losses from Medicaid redeterminations and Medicare Advantage bids for 2025 that could slow growth.”
  • Fierce Pharma reports,
    • “As myriad pharma industry attempts to challenge the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) fall flat, Johnson & Johnson is settling into a reality of pricing rebates and Medicare drug cost negotiations.”
    • “While J&J is “not in alignment” with IRA or its price setting process, the company has accepted the reality of the situation and baked assumptions about the future costs of its drugs into its growth projections through the end of the decade, Jennifer Taubert, EVP, worldwide chairman, innovative medicine at J&J, said on an analyst call Wednesday.
    • “As it stands, J&J currently expects to grow its business by 3% next year and then 5% to 7% out through 2030, Taubert said.”
  • Per Fierce Healthcare,
    • “Electronic health record messages to patients drafted by generative AI were of similar quality and accuracy to those written by healthcare professionals, according to a newly published study conducted using queries from NYU Langone Health patients.”
    • “The analysis, headed by researchers at the system’s affiliate NYU Grossman School of Medicine, had 16 primary care physicians rate AI and human drafts without knowing how each was written.
    • “Among a sample of 334 AI-drafted messages and 169 from professionals (both physicians and non-physicians), the raters found both sets to be on par regarding informational content, completeness and whether the grader would use the draft or start again from scratch.”
    • “The findings “suggest chatbots could reduce the workload of care providers by enabling efficient and empathetic responses to patients’ concerns,” study lead William Small, M.D., of the medical school, said in a release.”