Friday Stats and More

David Ermer–CDC, COVID-19, FDA, No Surprises Act, OPM, Rx coverage–
Photo by Sincerely Media on Unsplash

The CDC’s Covid Data Tracker for the week ended December 29, 2022, informs us:

  • New Covid cases totaled 402,525, down 84,000 cases from the previous week.
  • The daily average of new Covid hospital admissions was 5,,668 up 3.7% from the previous week.
  • New Covid deaths totaled 2,530, down 400 deaths from the previous week.
  • 17.3% of the U.S. population aged 18 and older and 37.5% of the U.S. population aged 65 and older have received the bivalent booster.

The CDC’s weekly Fluview tells us

  • Seasonal influenza activity remains high but continues to decline in most areas.
  • Of influenza A viruses detected and subtyped during week 51, 83% were influenza A(H3N2) and 17% were influenza A(H1N1).
  • Fourteen influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported this week, for a total of 61 pediatric flu deaths reported so far this season.
  • CDC estimates that, so far this season, there have been at least 20 million illnesses, 210,000 hospitalizations, and 13,000 deaths from flu.
  • The cumulative hospitalization rate in the FluSurv-NET system was more than 4 times higher than the highest cumulative in-season hospitalization rate observed for week 51 during previous seasons going back to 2010-2011. However, this in-season rate is still lower than end-of-season hospitalization rates for all but 4 pre-COVID-19-pandemic seasons going back to 2010-2011.
  • The number of flu hospital admissions reported in the HHS Protect system decreased nationally from the week prior for the third week in a row.

From the No Surprises Act front, STAT News reports

Health care providers are swamping the government with billing disputes under the new law that bans surprise medical bills. So far, just 4% have ended in payment. 

That’s according to the Biden administration’s progress report on the No Surprises Act’s so-called independent dispute resolution (IDR) process, in which mediators help out-of-network providers and insurers decide appropriate payment amounts for services. So far, the government is fielding a much higher volume of requests than expected, mostly related to emergency services. Health care providers, air ambulance providers, and companies working for them submitted about 90,000 out-of-network payment disputes between April 15 and Sept. 30, far more than the roughly 17,000 anticipated in a full year. 

Also exceeding expectations is the complexity of the cases and the time it’s taking to reach resolutions, which has led to a severe backlog of disputes awaiting resolution. Of the roughly 23,000 cases closed so far, mediators made payment determinations in about 3,600 — 4% of the 90,000 submissions.

In the FEHBlog’s opinion, providers and payers should focus on resolving cases at the initial open negotiation phase. Last week, the NSA regulators announced that the administration cost for one arbitration would increase from $50 to $350 per party, which should encourage payers and providers to reach the FEHBlog’s conclusion.

From the public health front, the Hill relates according to a new CDC report

  • About 526,000 young Americans could have both Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes by 2060, up from 213,000 in 2017 
  • The expected surge is alarming health officials, who say the increase will disproportionately affect minority populations.
  • A potential factor behind the trend could be an increase in childhood obesity.

These statistics place in context this STAT News story titled “Wegovy [Novo Nordisk’s latest obesity drug] may help teens with obesity lose weight but isn’t a magic bullet.”

“I’m concerned that doctors are going to rush to judgment and employ a medication that is very expensive and has its own side effects without giving proper consideration of what the actual cause of the problem is,” said Robert Lustig, professor emeritus of pediatrics at the University of California, San Francisco. Wegovy costs more than $1,300 per month and can cause nausea, vomiting, and rare cases of pancreatitis.

Lustig said each teen’s obesity is caused by different genetic, environmental, and behavioral factors and requires tailored treatment. He worries that widespread use of Wegovy could lead physicians to overlook the root causes of an individual’s condition.

“Treating the downstream symptoms of the problem is only putting a Band-Aid on the problem, it’s not fixing the problem,” Lustig said. “I’m worried that Wegovy is a Band-Aid.”

Since Wegovy, Saxenda, and other drugs are meant to be taken over the long term to maintain weight loss — potentially the rest of an individual’s life — teenagers would be on the medication for an especially long time, and there isn’t yet information on the effects of the drug over that time span, Lustig added.

The FEHBlog did not realize that these are long-term drugs.

In other Rx coverage news, the Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday

approved Briumvi (ublituximab-xiiy) injection for treating patients with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (RMS) in adults. Researchers demonstrated Briumvi’s efficacy in two randomized, double-blind, double-dummy, parallel group, active comparator-controlled clinical trials of identical design, in patients with RMS treated for 96 weeks. Patients were randomized to receive either Briumvi or teriflunomide, the active comparator. The primary outcome of both studies was the annualized relapse rate (ARR) over the treatment period. In both studies, Briumvi significantly lowered the ARR compared to teriflunomide. The most common adverse reactions were infusion reactions, including fever, chills, headache, influenza-like illness, elevated heart rate, nausea, throat irritation, reddening of the skin (erythema) and an anaphylactic (allergic) reaction; infections including serious and fatal bacterial, fungal, and new or reactivated viral infections and reduction in immunoglobulins.

From the miscellany department

  • Govexec reports on the Postmaster General’s plans for next year.
  • Milliman suggests “how to understand and impact health plan administrative expenses.”
  • The New York Times Morning column provides good year-end news: After spiking in 2020 and 2021, murders in large U.S. cities had decreased more than 5% this year and gun deaths, injuries, and mass shootings are also down this year. The Times attributes the drop to Covid’s transition to endemic status.